ASSESSMENT OF THE EFFECTS OF FLOODING ON POVERTY AND FOOD SECURITY STATUS OF ARABLE CROP FARMERS

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ABSTRACT


This study assessed the effect of flooding on poverty and food security status of arable crop farmers in South-east, Nigeria. Specifically, it described socio-economic characteristics of arable crop farmers; ascertained the flooding incidences; ascertained the locations affected by flooding incidence identified the causes of flooding; ascertained perceived poverty and food security of farmers; determined the poverty status and food security status of farmers before and after the flood incidences; ascertained perceived effect of flooding incidences on arable crop production, and examined different farmers’ coping mechanisms used to minimize effect of flooding and during food shortages/security in the study area. A Multi-stage random sampling procedure was used to select 270 (two hundred and seventy) arable crop farmers (Anambra = 90, Ebonyi=90, Imo = 90). Data were collected with a structured questionnaire, and analyzed using descriptive statistics and inferential statistics (multiple, probit regression analyses and Z-test analyses). Result showed that farmers averred that flooding incidence was high with =3.5 flood frequency, =3.6 intensity, =3.5extensity and =4.0 severity. The respondents were food insecure using the food security indices. There was high poverty level for farmers across the States before and after flooding incidence. The pooled result showed about 68.90% and 68.10% of the farmers were food insecure before, while (31.10%) and (31.90%) were secure after the flooding incidence.  Farmers had favourable perception ( = 3.7) of flooding incidences, high level of usage ( = 2.6) of coping mechanisms in times of food shortages and security ( = 2.6). Multiple regression pooled result showed that sex (-1.1651), education status (0.6539), household size (0.1760) and on-farm income (-0.00001) influenced poverty status of arable crop farmers. Probit regression estimates showed that education (0.5212), household size (-0.0931) and on-farm income (0.00008) influenced food security status of farmers. Z-test result revealed that there was no significant difference between poverty status of the farmer before and after flooding incidence at P≤ 0.05. Probit regression estimates showed that flood frequency (-1.885), intensity (-2.267), duration (-4.951) and seasonality (2.864) influenced poverty while flood frequency (-3.602), intensity (-1.711), duration (-4.369), seasonality (2.207) influenced food security.  The study concluded that farmers had high poverty level and were food insecure as a result of flood incidence in the area. It is therefore recommended that the affected households should be encouraged by government and non-governmental organizations via awareness creation on adaptation measures, and also being involved in other income generation activities that can make them to be food secure in case of any such incidence in future. There should be provision of relief materials so as to reduce poverty and increase food security in the area.







TABLE OF CONTENTS

Title Page                                                                                                                    i

Declaration                                                                                                                 ii

Certification                                                                                                               iii

Dedication                                                                                                                  iv

Acknowledgements                                                                                                    v

Table of Contents                                                                                                       vi

List of Tables                                                                                                              x

Lists of Figures                                                                                                           xi

Abstract                                                                                                                      xii


CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION

1.1           Background of the Study                                                                               1                                                                               

1.2           Statement of the Problem                                                                              10                          1.3 Research Questions                                                                                       14

1.4        Objectives of the Study                                                                                 15

1.5        Hypotheses of the Study                                                                                16

1.6        Significance for the Study                                                                             17

1.7        Definition of Terms                                                                                       18  


                                                           

CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1      Flooding in Nigeria - Current and Past                                                              23

2.2      Flooding in Nigeria and Causes                                                                              24

2.2.1     High precipitation                                                                                              24

2.2.2     Poor physical planning and implementation of planning regulations               25

2.2.3     Poor drainage infrastructure and waste management                                        25

2.3       Food Security                                                                                                     26

2.3.1     Role and constraints of smallholder farmers in Nigeria’s food security            27

2.4       Food Security and The Sustainable Development Goals                                   29

2.5       Flooding, Food Security, and the Nigeria Agriculture Promotion Policy          30

2.6       Understanding the Impact of Flooding on the Different Components of Food Security                                                                                                                                                    32

2.6.1    Flooding and food availability                                                                            33

2.6.2    Flooding and food access                                                                                    34

2.6.3    Flooding and food utilization                                                                              35

2.6.4 Flooding and food stability                                                                               36

2.7 Addressing Flooding to Improve Food Security in Nigeria                                 36

2.7.1 Improved physical planning                                                                              36

2.7.2 Improved farming practices                                                                  37

2.7.3 Indigenous practices                                                                                         38

2.7.4 Grey and green infrastructure                                                                           38

2.8 Impact of climate change on flood                                                                      39

2.9 The State of Agriculture in Nigeria                                                                     40

2.10 Farming Systems in Nigeria                                                                              41

2.10.1 Importance of smallholders to sustainable livelihoods                                   42

2.10.2 Sustainable intensification of smallholder farming systems                           43

2.11 Climate as an important Component of Farming Systems                                44

2.11.1 Impact of climate change on agriculture in Nigeria                                       45

2.12 Farmers’ Understanding of Climate Change                                                     46

2.12.1 Indigenous responses by smallholders in Nigeria                                          46

2.12.2 Case study of the guinea savannah belt of Nigeria.                                        47


2.12.3 Bottlenecks in climate adaptation by smallholders in Nigeria             47

2.13. Climate-Smart Agriculture                                                                                48 

2.14. Simulation Models as Tools for Climate-Smart Agriculture                            49

2.15 Linkages between Extension Services, Smallholders, and Climate-Smart agriculture

                                                                                                                                   50

2.16 Theoretical Framework                                                                           52                                                           

2.16.1 Geophysical theory                                                                               52

2.16.2 The hydro – plate theory: The great flood                                                      53

2.16.3 Ancient Flood Theory                                                                                     54

2.16.4 Evidence and theories of a great Flood                                                           54

2.17 Conceptual Framework                                                                                      56

CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY

3.1       Study Area                                                                                                      59

3.2      Population of the study                                                                                    59

3.3       Sampling procedure                                                                                        61

3.4       Data Collection                                                                                              62

3.5       Validation of Instrument                                                                                62

3.6       Reliability of Instrument                                                                                62

3.7       Measurement of Variables                                                                              63

3.8       Data Analysis                                                                                                  67

3.8.1    Model specification                                                                                        69


CHAPTER 4: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

4.1       Respondents Socio-economic Characteristics                                               76

     4.2        Flooding incidences                                                                                       85                                 4.3        Locations affected by flood                                                                           89

4.4       Causes of flooding incidence                                                                          91                                                                                                                               

4.5       Perception of poverty and food security indices                                             93                         

4.6.1    Determination of poverty and food security status of arable crop farmers before and after         flooding incidences                                                                                        97         

4.6.2    Poverty line per capita expenditure of arable crop farmers before and after flooding      

4.7       Household food security status using per capita food expenditure before and after           flooding incidence                                                                                        101

   

4.7.2  House food security status per capita monthly food expenditure before and after flooding incidence                                                                                                      101

 

4.8    Perceived effect of flooding on arable crop production                                   104

4.9   Coping mechanism used by farmers to minimize effect of flooding                106

4.10 Coping strategies used by arable crop farmers in times of flood-induced food shortages and security                                                                                                            108

4.11 Testing of Hypothesis                                                                                          111

      CHAPTER 5: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS

5.1     Summary                                                                                                  138

5.2     Conclusion                                                                                               142

5.3     Recommendations                                                                                   142

REFERENCES                                                                                                144

APPENDIX                                                                                                               160                                                                    

 



 

 

 

LIST OF TABLES                                                  

4.1       Distribution of Respondents according Socio-economic Characteristics                                                                                                                                                76

4.2       Distribution of Respondents According to locations affected by flooding incidence                                                                                                                                                                              89

4.3         Distribution of Respondents according to flooding incidence                       85                               

4.4       Distribution of Respondents according to causes of flooding incidence       91                                                         

 

4.5       Distribution of Respondents according to perceived poverty and food security indices          97                                                                                                                   

4.6.1    Respondents’ determination of poverty and food security status of             arable crop      farmers before and after flooding incidences                                                99                                                                                                                                            

4.6.2    Distribution of Respondents according to poverty line per capita expenditure of arable crop farmers before and after flooding                                                          100                                                                                         

4.7.1 Distribution of respondents according to household food security status using per capita food expenditure before and after flooding incidence                                              104

 

4.7.2  House food security status per capita monthly food expenditure before and after flooding incidence                                                                                                     104

 

4.8   Perceived effect of flooding n arable crop production, food availability and security          after     flooding                                                                                                         105

4.9  Coping mechanism used by farmers to minimize effect of flooding                 106

4.10 Coping strategies used by arable crop farmers in times of food shortages and security as a result of flooding                                                                                             108

                                

 

                         

                                           




                                             LIST OF FIGURES


2.1: Conceptual framework of the study                                                                  57

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                             CHAPTER 1

                                                         INTRODUCTION


1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY

Flood has been seen as one of the disasters causing serious economic losses in various part of the world (Ramakrishna, Solomon, and Daisy, 2020). Flooding has been seen as a partial inundation of normally dry area due to overflow of water on land surfaces, inland water or rapid accumulation of water on dry land (Jeb and Aggarwal, 2018). The immediate effect of this natural disaster includes destruction of crops, loss of livestock, damage to properties, food insecurity, loss of lives among the affected communities (Alam, 2010; Islam and Wong 2017; Okeleye, 2016).

In recent times, flooding has become a yearly occurrence in Nigeria and is expected to increase due to climate change. Flood is an overflow of water which rises to overflow land which is not normally submerged. Flood results from a number of causes of which the most important are climatological in nature (Okorie, 2020). Flooding has been observed globally as one of nature’s damaging phenomena. Flooding is a serious environmental hazard which affects crops, livestock etc. The rise of water or rain water during rainy season results in serious and severe damages to individual properties and force several people to vacate the area thereby rendering many people homeless. Flooding is as a result of heavy rainfall or when rivers and oceans overflow their banks due to high tide, thereby submerging land areas. Flooding normally occurs when lakes, ponds, river overflow, soil and vegetation cannot absorb all the water, making excess water in the land rise in volumes that cannot be carried within stream channels or retained in lakes, natural ponds or man-made reservoirs (Erekpokeme, 2017). Flooding can make things worse by increased amount of impervious surface or by natural hazards, wild fires or deforestation which reduces the wanted vegetation that can absorb rainfall (Ayooso, 2018).

The actions taking by individuals without adequate attention and direction to geological structure of most cities of Nigeria have undoubtedly contributed to reoccurrence of disaster and consequently pose threats to environmental sustainability in most of these states including South-east (Oludare, Olusegun, and Olufemi, 2016).

Floods are the most recurring, widespread, disastrous and frequent natural hazards of the world” (Umoh, 2017). There has been unprecedented occurrence of floods and its associated effects in most of the rural communities and urban centers of developing countries including Nigeria (Fabiyi and Olokosi, 2018).

In 2022, flood affected several states in Nigeria including Anambra, Ebonyi, Imo, Kogi, Delta, Bayelsa and Rivers States, and displaced many people especially in the rural communities. The flood rendered millions of people homeless and their means of livelihood destroyed. The social and economic impact of the flood incident, particularly on agricultural production and social infrastructure, cannot be overemphasized, yet the long term impacts of the recent flood in Nigeria could be more severe (Ezezue, Agha, Ndieze and Rachael; 2022).

Flooding has not been known only to damage properties and endanger the lives of human and animals rather, it results to other secondary effects like outbreak of diseases such as cholera and malaria as well (Abowei and Sikoki, 2015). Flooding mainly occurred when heavy rainfall, natural water course does not have the capacity to convey excess water thereby destroying properties. However, floods are always caused by heavy rainfall. They can result from other phenomena, particularly in coastal areas where inundation can be caused by a tsunami or a high tide coinciding with higher than normal river levels. Dam failure, triggered for example by an earth quake, will result in flooding on the downstream area, even in dry weather condition (Ezezue, Agha, Ndieze and Rachael; 2017).

Obeta (2020) observed that in many parts Nigeria, flooding continues to be in increase causing problem, dislodging individuals and communities by surprise in a repeatedly exasperating way and causing disruption of social activities, damaging of infrastructure and even death of people, livestock and destroying of farm lands. In the same vein. Onwuka, Ikekpeazu and onuha, 2015) asserts that Nigeria 923,768sq km land area is made up of 13, 000sq km of water.  Nigeria has had her own fair share of floods, according to him, between 2011-2012, for instance, Abia, Anambra, Imo, Ebonyi, Enugu, Adamawa, and Akwa Ibom States witnessed heavy downpour and rain storm which affected more than 5,000 rural inhabitants. Explaining further, Onwuka, et.al., (2015) confirms that in the same year, about 12,300 people were displaced by torrential rain which destroyed farmlands, damaged properties and submerged buildings in many parts of the country. Emeriobeole (2018) asserts that floods are among one of the devastating natural disasters in the world, which have claimed more lives and causing property damage than anyone could imagine.

Flooding is one of the major environmental problems facing man within the century. This is especially the case in most wetlands of the world. The reason for this is the general rise in sea level globally, due to global warming, as well as the saturated nature of the wetlands in the Riverine areas. Periodic floods occur on many rivers, forming a surrounding region known as flood plain.

As noted by Adeleye and Rustum (2017) torrential rainfall has caused  rivers to overflow their banks, causes mud houses to collapse and also washed away livestock as well as destroy crops and  farm lands in the rural communities. In most of the rural villages and communities, flooding has damaged bridges and caused overflow of dams, submergence of buildings, displacement of people from their homes, loss of people’s valuables. The economy of a place can also be severely affected by flooding. Businesses may lose stock, patronage, data and productivity and disruption to utilities and transport. Tourism, farming and livestock can equally be affected, vital infrastructure damages or disrupted, electricity and gas supplies are also interrupted, road linkages are damaged, railways, canals etc are blocked causing disruption to transport network and accessibility severely disrupted for local inhabitants, especially amongst those considered most vulnerable and loss of communications networks (Adeleye and Rustum, 2017).

Although flooding is a bane to most people, flooding can be beneficial to rural populace. Farmers’ benefit more from natural floods than from not having them at all. What makes natural floods a disaster is when flood waters occur in areas populated by humans and in areas of significant human development, when left in its natural state, the benefits of floods outweigh the adverse effects (Bradshaw, Sodhi, Peh, and Brook, 2017). For farmers that maintain their crops along rivers, they should not feel threatened by yearly flooding. Flooding help their farm lands to have better soil consistencies and keeps their land fertile resulting to better harvests each year by depositing some manure. Instead of preventing the natural flow of river floods, it might be beneficial in the long run to allow the flood waters to encroach into their lands (Folorunsho and Awosika, 2019). It was how nature intended it to be in the first place. However, there may be limits to how much farmers can tolerate such natural occurrences.

Food security, according to FAO (2016; 2018) occur when everybody, at any giving time, have physical and economic access to sufficient, available and nutritious food that meets their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life”. Food security in the above context consists of four dimensions viz; food accessibility, availability, utilization and stability, and these dimensions must be fulfilled for food security objectives to be realized (Akukwe, 2019).

Food accessibility is a measure of adequate and enough food, usually determined by affordability of food and money spent on food while food availability is determined by sufficiency of food that are produced, stored, processed, distributed and exchanged. In addition, food utilization refers to the essential nutrients through adequate diet secured from the food consumed including access to potable water and safety of food and stability emphasizes the importance of having to reduce the risk of adverse effects on the other three dimensions: food availability, food stability, food accessibility or food utilization over time; it deals with the phrase “at all times” in the food security definition by FAO (2016;2018).
Food security has been known as one of the issues of global importance that nations strive towards achieving. Food security is an issue of global importance that nations strive towards achieving its goals. There have been several global partnerships and initiatives, most notably by the United Nation to achieve food security, which sadly remains elusive today. Nigeria is particularly lagging in achieving food security (Akukwe, 2019). A state of food insecurity would occur once any of the food security dimensions is truncated by flooding, drought or any environmental change, hence, there exists a relationship between flooding and food (in) security (World Food, 2020).

 Poverty has been referred as the state or condition in which many people at all times or communities lack the financial resources and essentials for a minimum standard of living. As such, their basic human needs cannot be met. Poverty-stricken people and families have been known to live without proper housing, clean water, healthy food, and medical attention because they cannot afford to get them. Each nation may have its own criteria for determining the poverty line and counting how many of its people live in poverty. It's important to remember that poverty is a socioeconomic condition that is the result of multiple factors—not just income. Poverty is generally in the increase in Nigeria, resulting in incidences of disease and hunger, decreased life expectancy, and low per-capita income. The rising cost and unavailability of food exacerbated by perennials flooding disasters ensure that the poor cannot access this basic need (Osabohien, et.al 2018)

A state of food security entails that adequate food is available, stable, accessible; all people have physical and economic access to the food they require; availability and access are ensured over time (stability), and the food is efficiently utilised. Attaining food security requires not just attaining an adequate level of good nutrition and food consumption, but maintaining this level at low risk over time (FAO, 2018). Food insecurity on the other hand, exists even if one of these conditions is not met or there is any negative shift (e.g. caused by flooding) in any of these dimensions of food security (Akukwe, 2019).

Flooding has been known to be caused by several factors and it is invariably preceded by heavy rainfall and overflow of rivers. The other causes of flooding are moderate to severe winds over water, unusual high tides, tsunamis due to undersea earthquakes, breaks or failures of dams, levees, retention ponds or lakes, and other infrastructure that retains water. Flooding can be aggravated by impervious surfaces or by natural and other man-made hazards which destroy soil, vegetation that can absorb rainfall. Although flooding is a natural occurrence, man-made changes to the land can also be a factor (Akukwe, 2019). There are several causes and types of floods. There could be flash flood which occurs quickly by rapid rise of extremely dangerous water travelling at high speeds. Coastal flooding in oceans which is driven by storm surges, hurricanes and tsunamis also causes heavy flooding. Failures of dams or other structures constructed to retain water may engender flooding.

 In recent times, climate change and global warming has contributed in flooding because the weather are not predictable at all times (Famous, 2016; obeta, 2014; Ifatimehim and Ufuah, 2016; Akukwe, 2019).

In South-East Nigeria, flood disaster has been perilous to people, communities and institutions. Recently, South-east states of the Nigeria were affected by flooding which have claimed so many lives, damaged property, disrupt economic activities, caused grief and emotional trauma and also displaced the inhabitants of the affected environments, it shattered both the built-environment and undeveloped plan, it shattered both artificial and natural environment, properties worth millions of naira   got lost due to flood occurrences. One prominent attributes about it is that flooding does not discriminate, but marginalizes whosoever refuses to prepare for its occurrence, it does not give sign (NEMA Newsletter, 2020). Whereas flooding itself is a situation that results when land that is usually dry is covered with water of a river overflowing as a result of heavy rain, and dam over flow, flooding occurs naturally on the flood plains which are prone to disaster.

According to Umoh, (2017), farmers and community efforts to mitigate floods which is a yearly occurrence is becoming more severe and farmers are becoming more vulnerable due to unfavourable effects of climate change. He also pointed out that in a research carried out in some states of the Akwa Ibom, Anambra, Ebonyi, Abia, Enugu, Imo, Rivers and Ondo States, it was observed that land management practice particularly the use of mounds was commonly used by farmers to mitigate effects of flooding. He also asserted that in the wetland region of these states, farmer’s plant flood resistant or flood tolerant varieties of crops. Farmers have also diversified their income earning activities to cope with environmental hazards. Fishing communities in these start adapt to flooding and sea rise by fishing father away from the shore than they use to and carry deep freezers to preserve their catch during the long period they will be at sea or river.

 Among some of the states close to the coastal rural communities such as Anambra and Ebonyi States, Fabiyi et.al,(2018) discovered that these communities have undocumented knowledge of local meteorology which are based on observation and traditional practices and belief systems. (Fabiyi and Oloukoi, 2018). This local knowledge helps some of the rural farmers to predict flooding on seasonal and long term basis. Other mitigating measures includes improved cassava cuttings, plantains and maize which are early maturing and can adjust quickly by offering them food on the table (IITA, 2016). Other flood adaptation measures and control include, proper drainage system, building of buffer dams in strategic areas, building of houses to avoid blockage of natural drainages and water ways, preventing siltation of creeks, rivers and other water bodies by dredging, setting up a well planned community flood preparedness, sensitization and management programme to be conducted across the states (Erekpokeme, 2017). In some of the rural communities of South-East states, Nigeria, water levels are increasing, whereas it is decreasing in some other areas. The rainfall pattern is no longer what it used to be as we may experience extended rainy season or delayed rain. And whichever way many at times, lead to flood disaster. When flood disaster occurs, many environmental hazards are likely to follow.

The recently adopted Sustainable Development Goals lays emphasis on ending hunger, achieving food security and improving nutrition and promoting sustainable agriculture by 2030 in Goal 2. FAO (2018) has noted that all hungry people are food insecure, though, not all food insecure people are hungry, and the term ‘hunger’ has been used to distinguish a subset of food insecure people while people suffering from hunger because of inadequate access to food may be considered ‘currently food insecure’.

Poverty is undoubtedly a cause of hunger, hence a relationship exists between hunger, poverty and food insecurity. Understanding this relationship can clarify how poverty and hunger reduction programmes can contribute to strengthening food security and vice versa.  Flooding to have been found to have a significant negative implication on food security in the South-east States of Nigeria. There was need to assess the aspects in which flooding affect food security in the agrarian and flood vulnerable communities in the south eastern region of Nigeria. Extensive works had been carried out on the effect and impact of flooding on health and environment in Nigeria ranging from destruction of roads and other infrastructure, stream pollution, coastal erosion, destruction of farms to loss of lives and property. 
It is therefore against this background that this research is geared towards assessing the effects of flooding on poverty and food security statuses of smallholder arable crop farmers in South-East, Nigeria. The findings of this research are undeniably going to assist farmers strengthen their adaptation capacity and ultimately enhance their well-being.


1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT

Agriculture overtime has remained the most vulnerable sectors of climate change in Nigeria, particularly in terms of declines in agricultural production and uncertain climate that significantly affects food security (Armah, Yawson, Yengoh, Odoi and Afrifa, 2020). Despite this fact, agriculture has remained an important source of livelihoods in our country Nigeria.

Studies have shown that an average of 70% of the population in Africa, lives by farming; 40% of all export earnings come from agriculture and about one-third of the national income in Africa is generated by the agricultural sector (McCuster, and Carr, 2016). The vulnerable members of the society in Nigeria are those most dependent on rain-fed subsistence agriculture for food, income and job, and hence the most affected by climate change which results to heavy rainfall causing flooding (Yaro ,2014).

South-east Nigeria is a food-insecure. They are among the region most vulnerable and at risk of food insecurity due to climate change, economic crises, and conflict (World Food Programme 2020). In spite of the impact of flooding on food security in our rural communities, it is not recognised as a menace by policymakers, as identified by the national agricultural plans in 2021, which do not acknowledge the role of disasters on food security. The food security situation has been dire before, and the ongoing flooding has made it worse.

Food security is a complex phenomenon and may be seen as an integration of four core dimensions i.e. food availability, accessibility, utilization and stability (FAO,2019). The problem of food insecurity is not only caused by an insufficient supply of food but also due to the lack of purchasing power and access at national and household levels. Therefore, in spite of gains in global food production and food security over the last three decades, more than 800 million people are undernourished and almost all of them belong to the developing countries such as Nigeria (Abid, Schilling, Scheffran and Zulfiqar 2020); FAO, 2019). More so, growing population coupled with increased intensity of environmental extreme events like floods, droughts, extreme variability in temperature and rainfall has increased the pressure on the current food production systems which in turn, has threatened the current food security crisis in most of the developing countries such as Nigeria (Dewan, 2015).

In South-east, Nigeria such as Abia, Imo, Enugu, Ebonyi and Anambra States, flood remains a persistent environmental challenge which normally occurs when flowing water covering land areas that were not subjected to inundation before. Explicitly, flooding emanates as a result of land inundation with water attributed to the rise in water or the inability of an aquatic ecosystem to hold excess water. Series of reports of an outbreak of epidemic disease and various water-borne diseases add to the contamination of water supplies due to flooding. Many anthropogenic activities have contributed to worsening the event of flood disaster which include industrialization, urbanization, population growth, utilization of environmental resources and infrastructural development (Echendu, 2021). Durodola (2019) in his research submitted that unlawful dropping of wastes, blockage and poor water evacuation system are causal-factors of flooding in Nigeria. 

Food security practice and livelihood in the flood-prone areas of South-east is threatened by several challenges. How much food is available depends on food production. Food production levels in Nigeria are already below demand. Nigeria relies on US$10 billion of imports to meet its food and agricultural production shortfalls but flood inundation affecting some of the state are seriously affecting it (mostly wheat, rice, poultry and fish). (Echendu, 2021).This is even though agriculture is the second most important economic activity after crude oil.

Flooding has been found to be one of the major factors that degrade the environment destroys crops, farm settlements, livestock, and seedling stores which affect the next farming season thereby causing food insecurity. This reduces harvest and affects the next planting season, culminating in a food shortage crisis. Livestock are killed or lose pastures and inundated farmlands are unsuitable for cultivation. Depending on the type of sediment deposited on farmlands during floods, some cannot be cultivated for a long time, creating a cycle of food insecurity and hunger, aquaculture and fish farming are not left out either. For instance, floods wash away fish stock, leading to a loss of income for the farmers and a loss of valuable source of protein (Mbah, 2015).

Flooding has an impact on access to food in several ways; food becomes more scarce, hard to physically obtain and more expensive. Smallholder farmers – who make up 88% of Nigerian farmers – cultivate, process, and eat directly from their farms, they are the worst affected by flooding disasters. As found in many research reviews, small scale farmers lose their primary source of income while lacking the resources to purchase food in the market. This also sets off a cycle in which high costs mean farmers can’t buy seeds or seedlings, affecting their ability to produce. Flooding causes massive damage to infrastructure, like the collapse of bridges and roads in Nigeria, cutting off access roads. This has affected many farmers, for instance, farmers cannot access needed inputs (like seeds or fertilisers) and markets for their goods. In addition, there are supply chain disruptions, increased prices, the destruction of farm produce and stored reserves (Echendu, 2021).

In order words, availability and access to food do not guarantee adequate food utilisation if the necessary nutrition from food is lacking because there’s been nutrient and soil loss as a result of flooding. Degraded soil produces low quality and low nutrient food. Plant tissue damage can occur due to flooding, which promotes the development of bacterial and fungal diseases affecting crop quality. Micronutrient consumption is affected if the nutrient composition of foods is altered. The resultant effect of flooding has been found in Nigeria’s agricultural farmlands. In addition, the impact of flooding on the general flora and fauna have been found to reduce the availability of wild food and game, which are rich nutrient sources for rural dwellers.

Flood affects food stability – ensuring that food is always available, accessible and nutritious. A decline in agricultural productivity because of flooding affects the availability of food. Subsequent decline or reduction in supply increase prices of food, making it inaccessible to a large number of Nigeria’s population. The high prices and unavailability of preferred food choices has forced consumers to limit their consumption and opt for less nutritious but more filling food, which has an impact on food accessibility and utilisation.

Despite flood being a natural phenomenon, the impacts of flooding in densely populated and poor communities has been very severe affecting the small scale farmers more (Dewan, 2015; Egbinola, Olaniran, and Amanambu, 2017). When floods are experienced in these communities, it results to poor hygiene, diseases and pandemics escalate, water becomes contaminated, and lives may be lost in the process. Poor communities are more vulnerable than others (Situngkir, Sagala, Yamin, and Widyasari, 2014) due to their exposure to natural disasters, poorly constructed houses (which are easily damaged), and inadequate or poorly maintained drainage which compound the negative impacts of flooding. Moreover, when flooding occurs, it affects economic activities, thereby reducing the income of the poor, homes, and other buildings are damaged, and also education of their children will be halted, all these further exacerbate the poverty level of the inhabitants of poor communities.

Unfortunately, the knowledge of the effects of flood on poverty and food security statuses of smallholder arable crop farmers in South East, Nigeria which are vulnerable to flooding and have comparative advantage in the production of staple foods is lacking.

Flooding is usually associated with loss of lives and properties depending on the intensity of flood. Therefore, this study was concerned to assess the effect of these flooding on poverty and food security status of arable crop farmers in South-East Nigeria.


1.3       RESEARCH QUESTIONS

Based on the foregoing the study was guided by the following research questions;

i.      What are the socio-economic characteristics of arable crop farmers in South-East?

ii.     What are the flooding incidences (Frequency, Intensity, Extensity, Duration, Seasonality and Severity)?

iii.   Where are the various locations of flooding incidences?

iv.   What are the causes of flooding?

v.     What are respondents’ perception of food security incidences (availability, accessibility, utilization and stability) as a result of flooding?

vi.    What is the poverty status of arable crop farmers?

vii.  What is the food security status of arable crop farmers?

viii. What are the perceived effects of flooding incidences on arable crop production food availability, accessibility, stability, utilization and security? and

ix.   What are the coping mechanisms used by arable crop farmers in the study area? ‘

x.     What are the coping strategies adopted by respondents in managing food shortage and poverty caused by flooding in the area?

1.4       OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

The broad objective of this study was to assess the effects of flooding on poverty and food security status of arable crop farmers in south-east, Nigeria

Specific Objectives were to:

i.               describe socio-economic characteristics of arable crop farmers;

ii.              assess the flooding incidences parameter study in the area (frequency, intensity, extensity, duration, severity and seasonality);

iii.            ascertain various locations of flooding incidences;

iv.                 assess the causes of flooding in the area;

v.                   ascertain respondents’ perception of food security incidences (availability, accessibility, utilization and stability) as a result of flooding;

vi.                 determine the poverty status of arable crop farmers before and after flooding incidences;

vii.                determine the food security status of arable crop farmers;

viii.              assess perceived effect of flooding on arable crop, availability, accessibility, stability, utilization and security;

ix.            ascertain the coping mechanisms used by arable crop farmers  to manage flooding incidences in the study area; and

x.              ascertain coping strategies adopted by respondents in managing food shortage and poverty caused by flooding incidences.

1.5       HYPOTHESES OF THE STUDY

The following hypotheses guided the study:

HO1: Selected socio-economic characteristics of arable crop farmers do not influence their poverty status

HO2: Selected socio-economic characteristics of arable crop farmers do not influence their food security status

HO3: There is no significant difference between poverty status of arable crop farmers before and after flooding incidences in South-east, Nigeria.

HO4: There is no significant difference between food security status of arable crop farmers before and after flooding incidences in South-east, Nigeria.

HO5: There are no significant effects of flooding incidence on the poverty status of arable crop farmers in South-east, Nigeria.

 

HO6: There are no significant effects of flooding incidence on the food security status of arable crop farmers South-east, Nigeria.


1.6 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY

This study is of great importance for both citizens and settlers, especially farmers in South-East, Nigeria and its environment. The research identified the likely causes of flooding and assess the effects on poverty and food security status of farmers in the study area.

It has been noted that the global mean temperature has increased by 0.74 °C in the last 100 years, and is expected to rise to between 1.1 and 6.4 °C by the end of the twenty-first century, depending on projected scenarios (Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2017), which could lead to extreme climate variability and weather-related events like flooding (Agbonkhese et.al, 2014). Evidence shows that more intense and recurrent weather events (heat and cold waves, floods, droughts, heavy storms), rising irregularities in seasonal rainfall patterns and rising sea levels (including flooding) are already having direct impact not only on food production, but also on incidence of food distribution infrastructure, food emergencies, livelihood assets and human health in both urban and rural areas (Adedeji, 2018; FAO, 2018, Clark et.al, 2018).

The researcher looked at the extent to which flooding has affected poverty and food security as well as mapping the flood incidences and food insecurity hotspots (i.e. summarizing the number and location of flood incidences and food insecure people), which helped in suggesting the optimal adaptation strategies against such events. It will also assist policy makers in designing sustainable food security policies and flood emergency programmes for the South-East region.

Moreover, the differential households’ abilities to cope and determinants of food security was investigated in this research which will help in policies formulation which will increase peoples’ resilience. In addition, the findings of the research will serve as baseline for comparative studies related to flood and food security in Nigeria.

1.7 DEFINITION OF TERMS

The following terms were used as they apply to this work

Adaptive capacity: is the ability of people to adjust or adapt to changes e.g. their capacity to maintain their livelihoods in times of food insecurity and flooding

Agrarian community: is an agricultural community where farming forms the major source of livelihoods of people.

Effect: a change which is a result or consequence of an action or other cause

Flooding: “A flood is the buildup of too much water which rises to overflow land which is not normally submerged. It comprises overflow of a river as a result of long-lasting seasonal rainfall, accumulation of rainwater in low-lying areas and excessive runoff caused by absence/inadequate storm drainage”. Flooding in this study is treated as an event.

Food security: food security has been seen to exist when households do have adequate physical food for consumption, and have the social or economic access to satisfactory food for a healthy life at all times.

Food accessibility: is a measure of the ability to obtain food for healthy living. This is determined by affordability of food and money spent on food.

Food availability: is associated with the produced food’s physical quantities; food processed, stored, exchanged and distributed. It has to do with “Sufficient food”.

Food insecurity: on the other hand, exists even if one of these conditions is not met or there is any negative shift (e.g. caused by flooding) in any of these dimensions of food security.

Food utilization: This entails the consumption of food through adequate diet and how essential nutrients are acquired from consumed food by a person, it covers the diet’s nutritional value, in addition to access to potable water; its composition, preparation methods and safety of food.

Food utilization refers to the essential nutrients secured from the food consumed including access to potable water and safety of food and stability emphasizes the importance of having to reduce the risk of adverse effects on the other three dimensions: food availability, food utilization, or food accessibility over time;

Hunger: is regarded as a severe stage of food insecurity, rather than as a distinct or disconnected condition from the more common experience of food insecurity.

Poverty: means not having enough money for basic needs such as food, drinking water, shelter, or toiletries. Many people in different countries live in poverty, especially in developing countries.

 

 

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