EFFECT OF CAPITAL MARKET INSTITUTIONS ON DEVELOPMENT OF NIGERIAN ECONOMY

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Abstract

 

This study was carried out to determine the Effect of Capital Market Institutions on the Development of Nigerian economy with specific objectives being to determine the effect of Capital Market performance on unemployment rate in Nigeria; to assess the effect of Capital Market performance on poverty level in Nigeria and to ascertain the effect of Capital Market performance on the standard of living in Nigeria. The study made use of descriptive research design using ordinary least square regression analysis to analyse the data with the aid of Eviews9. The findings of the study revealed that an increase in the Capital Market performance will decrease Unemployment rate, an increase in the Capital Market performance will lead to decrease in poverty level, and an increase in the Capital performance will lead to increase in standard of living. The study also revealed that Capital Market performance has significant effect on unemployment rate in Nigeria, there is significant effect of Capital Market performance on poverty level in Nigeria, and there is significant effect of Capital Market performance on standard of living in Nigeria. The study therefore recommended that the relevant regulatory agencies in the capital market should be focused on enhancing the efficiency and transparency of the market in order to improve investor’s confidence. Also, there is need for effective and favourable macroeconomic environment to facilitate the causality from stock market to economic growth. It must be understood that growing economics with significant and consistent impact on living standards of the people are a product of effective social, economic and political institutions and his is a major setback in the Nigeria environment. Thus there is the need to ensure that the channels of capital market induced growth are built around effective systems and that the policy institutions are actively involved in marking systemic checks and appropriate policy innovations to ensure capital market lead economic growth.







TABLE OF CONTENTS         

Cover page                                                                                                       i

Title page                                                                                                         ii

Declaration                                                                                                      iii

Certification                                                                                                     iv

Dedication                                                                                                        v

Acknowledgements                                                                                          vi

Table of Contents                                                                                             vii

Abstract                                                                                                                       xi

 

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION

1.1 Background of the Study                                                                                 1

1.2 Statement of the Problem                                                                                3

1.3 Research Objectives                                                                                       4

1.4 Research Questions                                                                                         5

1.5 Research Hypotheses                                                                                      5

1.6 Significance of the Study                                                                                5

1.7 Scope of the Study                                                                                          6

1.8 Limitations of the Study                                                                                  6       

 

CHAPTER TWO: REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE

2.1 Conceptual Framework                                                                                   7

2.1.1   The Nigerian capital market                                                                        7

2.1.2   Structure of the Nigerian capital market                                                      8

2.1.3   Capital Market Reforms                                                                             9

2.1.4   Roles of the capital market                                                                         11

2.1.5   Concept of capital market variables                                                             12

2.1.6. Concept of capital market variables                                                              16

2.1.7   Economic Growth                                                                                      17

2.1.8   Gross Domestic Product (GDP)                                                                  18

2.1.9    Analysis of the Nigerian capital market’s performance                              19

2.1.10 The role of the capital market in economic development                             20

2.2      Theoretical Framework                                                                              21

 2.2.1 Harrod – Domar growth model                                                                    21

2.2.2 Solow-Swan growth theory                                                                          22

2.2.3   Arrow Kenneth Growth Theory (Endogenous Growth Theory)                   22

2.2.4 Paul Romer Growth Theory                                                                          22

2.3      Empirical Review                                                                                      23

2.4 Summary/ gap in literature                                                                              25

 

CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY

3.1      Research Design                                                                                        27

3.2      Area of Study                                                                                             27

3.3      Population of the Study                                                                              27

3.4      Sample size determination                                                                          27

3.4      Sources of Data Collection                                                                         28

3.4.1   Secondary Data                                                                                          28

3.5      Method of Data Analysis                                                                            28

3.6      Model Specification                                                                                   28

3.6      Variable Measurement                                                                               29      

 

CHAPTER FOUR: DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS

4.1 Data Presentation and Analysis                                                                        31

4.2 Test of Hypotheses                                                                                         35

4.3 Discussion of findings                                                                                     35

 

CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION

5.1      Summary of Findings                                                                                 37

5.2      Conclusions                                                                                               40

5.3      Policy Implications                                                                                   42

5.4      Recommendations                                                                                     42

REFERENCES                                                                                                  

 

 

 

 

LIST OF TABLES

4.1     Regression Result of the Effect of Capital Market Performance on Unemployment Rate in Nigeria                                                              31

4.2     Regression Result of the Effect of Capital Market Performance on Poverty Level in Nigeria                                                                                             32

4.3     Regression Result of the Effect of Capital Market Performance on Standard of Living in Nigeria                                                                                      33

 

 

 

 

 

CHAPTER ONE

INTRODUCTION


1.1       Background to the Study

The Capital market in any country is one of the major pillars of long-term economic growth and development. The market serves a broad range of clientele, including different levels of government, corporate bodies and individuals within and outside the country. The capital market is a subset of the financial system that is involved in the provision of longterm funds for productive use. The capital market drives any economy’s economic growth and development because it is necessary for long term growth capital formation (Osaze, 2000).

Capital market institutions are a number of financial institutions which are directly involved with real investment in the economy. These institutions mobilize savings from the people and channel funds for financing the development expenditure of the industry and government of a country.

 The financial institutions take maximum care in investing funds in those projects where there is high degree of security and the income is certain. The main institutional sources of capital market are as follows; insurance companies, pension funds, building societies, investment trusts, unit trust, saving banks, specialized finance corporation, commercial banks, and stock exchange.

The development of the capital market has improved the allocation of capital, because the prices of corporate debt and equity respond immediately to shifts in demand and supply. The signal created by change in price of a security encourages investors as a result of higher prices or discourages them due to lower prices; this is because the investors often used the prices of securities to predict the likely trend of the market as either bullish or bearish.  Businesses with high returns attract additional capital quickly and easily. When there is decline in demand, prices drop, and this signal makes investors to cut the flow of capital to the industry which leads to a decline in economic growth. The ability of companies in their early stages of development to raise funds in the capital markets is also beneficial because it allows these companies to grow very quickly. This growth in turn results into general increase of output in the economy (Abdullahi, 2005).

 

Although interest in identifying a formal link between financial system and economic development is fundamental, the basic intuition behind this relation is relatively easy to surmise. This is because the main goal of the capital market is the channelling of funds from the surplus sector unit to the deficit sector unit of the economy.  It plays a major task in human capital investments which are essential elements of economic growth and development. From this point of view, one should expect that as the capital market develops and deepens, then efficient allocation of the financial resources for the investment is facilitated and thus the frontier of production possibilities is increased (Adam & Sanni, 2005).

Economic growth in a modern economy hinges on an efficient financial sector that pools domestic savings and mobilizes foreign capital for productive investments. Financial markets play an important role in the mobilization of financial resources for long term investment through financial intermediation.  The financial market, which comprises the capital and money markets as well as other submarkets, plays crucial roles in the functioning of any modern economy. However, for the purpose of this research work emphasis will be on the capital market and its institutions. The capital market is believed to be an important sector of every economy whether it is developed or developing because it performs a vital role in the growth of the economy by providing the avenue through which foreign investors make investment in the country which boosts the growth of the economy in terms of foreign Direct Investment (Daniel, 1999).

The capital market mobilizes long-term debt and equity finance for investments in long-term assets, helps in boosting the financial system as well as improving the economic growth of a country and supplements traditional lending activities of the financial institutions such as banks by providing risk capital (equity) and loan capital (debt). By means of these instruments, the market is able to mobilize long-term savings and provide capital to investors for the purpose of financing long-term investments thereby broadening ownership of productive assets (Daniel, 2004). 

Accessing global markets for capital, through a well-functioning financial system, lessens a country’s reliance on foreign aid and other forms of external borrowing. It has been pointed out by a number of financial analysts that financial globalization allows for the sharing of local security risks. The effect of the capital market performance is determined by a number of elements, which include how financial assets are priced, such as the size of the stock market, market capitalization, number of listed equities, transactions in buying and selling of securities (liquidity) which in this case refers to the volume of transactions and new issues of securities.

The Nigerian economy is going through a transformation process, aimed at achieving economic growth and development. The role of the capital market in this regard cannot be over emphasized for capital factor in any economic transformation.


1.2           Statement of the problem

Nigerian capital market has undergone a series of reforms all with the hope of creating a stable economic growth and development. The most recent reform was carried out in order to provide opportunities for greater fund mobilization, improved efficiency in resource allocation and provision of relevant information for appraisal. It is expected that as a result of the reform the market provides variety of financial instruments capable of enabling economic agents to pool, price and exchange risk. In spite of these vital roles that the reform is expected to play, there is however a great concern on the performance of the Nigerian capital market in relation to the economic growth and development which when viewed from the nature of activities taking place in the market appeared superficial.  This may probably be attributed to lack of providing enabling framework that sustained confidence and investors’ protection and also thorough evaluation of factors that are of significance relevance in determining capital market performance.     

The Nigeria capital market has grown to being capable of providing facilities both to the private and public sectors to raise long term capital used in executing development programmes as well as finance the expansion and modernization of projects. However, how these reforms have influenced economic growth over the years has not been fully explored by previous studies.  Based on these aforementioned, this study is conducted to ascertain the influence of capital market institutions on economic development in Nigeria.


1.3       Objectives of the Study

The main objective of the study is to examine the impact of capital market institutions on economic development in Nigeria. However the specific objectives are to:

1)             Determine the effect of Capital Market performance on unemployment rate in Nigeria.

2)             Assess the effect of Capital Market performance on poverty level in Nigeria.

3)             Ascertain the effect of Capital Market performance on the standard of living in Nigeria.


1.4       Research Questions

Based on the broad statement of the problem the following research questions were raised:

i.               To what extent does Capital Market performance affect unemployment rate in Nigeria? 

ii.             What is the effect of Capital Market performance on poverty level in Nigeria?

iii.           How far has Capital Market performance affected the standard of living in Nigeria?


1.5       Research Hypotheses

In line with the objectives of the study the following hypotheses have been formulated in null form:

HO1:     Capital Market performance has no significant effect on unemployment rate in Nigeria.

HO2:     There is no significant effect of Capital Market performance on poverty level in Nigeria.

HO3:     There is no significant effect of Capital Market performance on standard of living in Nigeria.


.1.6      Significance of the Study

This study on the impact of capital market institutions on the development of Nigerian economy will be of immense benefit to the following group of persons:

1)     General public:  It will help educate the general public on the enormous role capital market performance can play in improving the standard of living of the people, create job opportunity for our youth and reduce social vices to the barest minimum through effective assess of fund from the capital market. 

2)     Academic/Future Researcher: This will serve as a useful guide to research student who yawns for knowledge to fill in the existing gap in the literature and improve on their work.

3)     Government Regulatory Bodies: The study will be of immense significance to regulatory authorities such as the CBN, NSE and SEC in coming up with sound financial policies and reforms that will boost the performance of the capital market. It will help the government to review some of its policies that are at variance with the development of capital market to promote enhanced use of the market to finance huge infrastructural deficit which has become the bane of the nation’s growth.

 

1.7       Scope of the Study

The Nigerian economy is a large component with a lot of diverse and sometimes complex parts. In this regard the study looks at a particular part of the economy by focusing particularly on the financial sector. Even then, the study does not cover all the parts of the financial sector, but focuses only on the capital market and its activities as such its impact on Nigerian economic growth. The choice of the period of study, 1999-2018 is predicted on the reasoning that, the market has experienced remarkable developmental changes as well as improvement in the policy framework of the market.


1.8      Limitations of the study

The major challenge faced by the researcher, is in the area of inconsistency in obtaining data for the study. The researcher therefore made use of the available data which nevertheless is considered sufficient to test the hypotheses.   



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