DETERMINANTS AND WELFARE EFFECT OF AGRICULTURAL AND LIVELIHOOD DIVERSIFICATION AMONG SMALLHOLDER FARMERS IN ABIA STATE, NIGERIA

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ABSTRACT

 

This study examined the effect of diversifying livelihood strategies on the welfare status of smallholder farm households. Data were collected from 270 farm households across the state using structured questionnaire and analyzed with descriptive statistics (means and percentages) as well as inferential statistics (Heckman 2-stage model, OLS, multinomial logit and correlation models). Farming in the study area was dominated by females with mean age of 41 years as indicated from the study and implied that these farmers were in their youthful and active years of life. About 75% of the respondents had a secondary education at minimum and recorded about 17 years of experience in agricultural activities. Most farm households in Abia state are agrarian rural dwellers who depend mostly on the proceeds from their farms to survive and meet their daily food and other necessary requirements. The result of the Heckman’s two-stage selection model showed that age of household head, sex of household head, years of education, household size, farming experience, market distance, cooperative membership, use of electricity and technology all affected the decision to diversify livelihood as well as intensity of diversification. The MNL model result showed that age of the household head, sex of the household head, years of education, market distance (km), farm size, use of technology, size of livestock and total household income were the significant factors affecting the choices of different livelihood strategies. The welfare status of the households showed that majority (43%) of the farm households were extremely poor followed by 34% who were non-poor. The Ordinary Least Square (using the semi-log form as the lead equation) result showed that level of education, farming experience, credit used, livelihood diversification, total household income, sex, farm size, age of farmer and household size were welfare determining factors. The positive correlation between livelihood diversification and welfare suggested that households which diversified their livelihood sources are more likely to have better welfare conditions than those who did not. Since education of the household members positively influence income generation and diversification, improvement in the quality of education of the rural household members will improve income generation and diversification. There is a need to encourage farmers to form cooperative societies for marketing their produce and procure inputs in bulk.  Further improvements through the identification of alternative farm strategies by understanding dynamics of off-farm labour pattern in other sectors would represent a viable strategy to understand risk aversion effects on agriculture. Policy makers should formulate and ratify appropriate rural development policies and strategies based on existing situation of rural livelihood to boost development of the rural community.






TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

Title Page                                                                                                                    i

Declaration                                                                                                                 ii                          

Certification                                                                                                               iii             

Dedication                                                                                                                  iv             

Acknowledgement                                                                                                      v              

Table of Contents                                                                                                       vi             

List of Tables                                                                                                              viii           

Abstract                                                                                                                       ix                                                                                    

 

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION

1.1       Background Information                                                                                1

1.2       Problem Statement                                                                                         4

1.3       Research Question                                                                                          7

1.4       Research Objectives                                                                                       8

1.4       Hypotheses                                                                                                     8

1.5       Justification                                                                                                    9

 

CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1       Conceptual Literature                                                                        

2.1.1    Concept of diversification                                                                              11

2.1.2    Concept of livelihoods                                                                                   11

2.1.3    Concept of livelihood diversification                                                             11

2.1.4    Concept of agricultural transformation process                                             14

2.1.5    Evolution of the sustainable livelihoods approach (SLA)                              18

2.1.5.1 Overview of the sustainable livelihoods framework (SLF)                            19

2.5.1.2 Household vulnerability and livelihoods                                                       21

2.1.5.3 Livelihood strategies and activities                                                                22

2.1.5.4 Livelihood strategies and livelihood outcomes                                              22

2.1.5.5 A critique of the SL approach                                                                        23

2.1.6    Rural livelihood diversification measurement                                               26

2.1.7    Classification of livelihood strategies                                                            28

2.1.8    Welfare                                                                                                           31

2.2       Theoretical Framework                                                                                  31       

2.2.1    Theory of assets                                                                                              33

2.2.2    Theory of activity                                                                                           35

2.3       Empirical Review                                                                                           36

2.3.1    Income from non-farm activities                                                                    36       

2.3.2    Farm livelihood diversification in sub-Saharan Africa                                  41

2.3.3    Motivation for livelihood diversification                                                       43

2.3.4    Determinants of livelihood diversification                                                    49

2.3.5    Determinants of welfare                                                                                 56

2.4       Analytical Framework                                                                                    58

2.4.1    Regression analysis                                                                                        58

2.4.2    Multinomial logit model                                                                                 59

2.4.3    The Herfindahl diversification index                                                             62

 

CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY

3.1.      The Study Area                                                                                               64

3.2       Sampling Procedure                                                                                       65

3.3       Data Collection                                                                                               65

3.4       Method of Data Analysis                                                                                66

 

CHAPTER 4: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

4.1       Socio-Economic Characteristics of Respondents                                           78

4.2       The Various Patterns of Livelihood and Level of Diversification                        83

4.2.1    Patterns of livelihood diversification                                                             83

4.2.2    Level of Diversification of livelihood                                                                        85

4.3       Factors Affecting the Decision to Diversify Livelihood and Intensity of Diversification                                                                                                    86

4.4       Factors Influencing the Livelihood Diversification Patterns of the

Households                                                                                                     93

4.5       Households’ Welfare Status and Determinant Factors                                   100     

4.5.1    Welfare status                                                                                                 100     

4.5.2    Welfare determinants                                                                                     100     

4.6       Relationship between Welfare and Livelihood Diversification                        101     

 

CHAPTER 5: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION

5.1       Summary                                                                                                        107

5.2       Conclusion                                                                                                      109

5.3       Recommendations                                                                                          110

References

Appendix

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                    LIST OF TABLES                                                                

3.1:      A priori expectations                                                                                                 77

4.1:      Distribution of respondents by their socio-economic characteristics                         78

4.2:      Patterns of livelihood diversification                                                                         83

4.3:      Level of diversification                                                                                              85

4.4:      Heckman estimates of livelihood diversification decision and intensity  

determinants                                                                                                               87

4.5:      MNL estimates of households’ choice of livelihood diversification strategies         94

4.6:      Welfare status                                                                                                             100

4.7:      OLS estimates of welfare determinants                                                                     102

4.8:      Correlation between welfare and livelihood diversification                                      106     

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

CHAPTER 1

INTRODUCTION


            1.1           BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY

Agriculture is the main source of livelihood in Nigeria, especially in the rural areas and is plagued with various problems (Adepoju and Obayelu, 2013). The farm sector employs about two-thirds of the country’s total labour force and provides a livelihood for about 90% of the rural population (IFAD, 2009), thus making it the most important sector in this respect (Chauvin, Mulangu, and Porto 2012; Akaakohol and Aye, 2014).  Agriculture is an important sector for majority of the rural populations’ livelihood in developing countries. It has been the predominant activity for most rural households in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) which offers a strong option for spurring growth, overcoming poverty, and enhancing food security (World Bank, 2008; Yizengaw et al., 2015).

Nigeria is largely an agrarian country despite its large oil earnings. Agriculture is characterized by small-scale production which is mainly subsistence, use of simple crude tools and generally traditional farming methods. Despite these characteristics, 80% of food in Nigeria is produced by these small-scale farmers (Chauvin et al., 2012). Nigerias varied climate which ranges from the tropical areas of the coast to the arid zone of the north affords her the opportunity to cultivate nearly all the types of agricultural produce grown in the tropics and semi-tropical parts of the world (Olayemi et al., 2012).

However, farming as a primary source of income has failed to guarantee sufficient livelihood for most farming households in sub-Sahara African countries (Babatunde, 2013). This is because the agricultural sector in the sub-Saharan African countries is highly characterized by decreasing farm sizes, low levels of output per farm, and a high degree of subsistence farming (Jirstrom et al., 2011). As a result, most of the rural households are poor and are beginning to diversify their livelihoods into off and non-farm activities as a relevant source of income.

The contribution of non-agricultural activities to household income in the developing world in general and Sub-Saharan Africa in particular is substantial. Local non-farming income contributes between 30 to 40 % of rural household income in the developing world (Haggblade et al., 2007; Oyimbo and Olayele, 2016). Various studies have shown that while most rural households are involved in agricultural activities such as livestock, crop, or fish production as their main source of livelihood, they also engage in other income generating activities to augment their main source of income (Adepoju and Obayelu, 2013).

However, having a universal classification of the types of non-farm income generating activities across Agricultural Zones and location in Abia State .Abia State major non-farm activites engaged by the majority of people are transportation and trading. Other notable non-farm activities engaged in by the majority of households in the state include food processing, restaurants/beer parlor, barbing saloon, teacher. Clergy, craft making, dye and weaving textile, soap making etc. ( Obinna ,2014). Within the interior areas of the state, most households in craft work are located within the semi-urban and urban areas of the state.

Diversification involves the maintenance and continuous alteration of a highly-varied range of activities and occupations to minimize household income variability, reduce the adverse impacts of seasonality and provide employment / additional income (Ellis, 2000; Barrett et al., 2001; Lanjouw and Lanjouw, 2001; Davis and Bezemer, 2004; Matsumoto et al., 2006; Haggblade et al., 2010; Weldegebriel, 2009).

Despite such benefits, diversification can also have negative sides depending on the motivation behind it (Hart, 1994). For instance, certain types of diversification may provide short-term security but trap households in low-return activities that make poverty persistent (such as poorly-paid piecework that leads to the neglect of farm production) or can degrade the natural-resource base (such as unsustainable charcoal production) (Barrett et al., 2001; Ellis and Freeman, 2004). Therefore, there is an important conceptual distinction among two types of diversification: off-farm and non-farm strategies (Weldegebriel and Prowse, 2013).

Agricultural diversification refers to either a change in cropping pattern or the farmers opting for other on-farming options like poultry farming, animal husbandry etc. This practice allows farmers to expand the production, which helps generate a higher level of income. Changing a cropping pattern involves the diversification between food and non- food crops, conventional crops and horticulture, high and low-value crops, etc ( NCERT,2016).

Thus, the expectation that achieving the goal of reducing poverty only through increasing agricultural productivity and redressing the issues of access to key agricultural resources without non/off-farm livelihood diversification could not be successful in the sub-Sahara African countries (Emmanuel, 2011). For these reasons there is a strong consensus that any development intervention to improve the livelihood and food security situation of the rural poor need to take agriculture along with the non/off-farm livelihood diversification, without undue preference being given to farming as the unique solution to rural poverty.

1.2           PROBLEM STATEMENT

Anchored on the global poverty reduction agenda lies the quest to attaining a hunger free world, more particularly in developing countries. Admittedly, the advent of international frameworks such as the Universal Declaration of Human Rights in 1948 and the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) in 2000 (now Sustainable Development Goals) has galvanized support and provided significant impetus towards global hunger eradication. According to the 2013 Global Hunger Index Report, the number of hungry people has declined by approximately 33 percent in the past two decades (Von Grebmer et al., 2013).

In spite of this progress, the onset of the 2008/2009 global economic crisis and food price spikes slowed progress towards the MDGs in general and hunger eradication in particular (UN, 2010; Green, 2012). In the wake of this, it is reported that some “41 million people in Asia-Pacific and another 24 million in sub-Saharan Africa have plummeted into hunger” (Karl, 2009). In other words, global hunger remains a crucial concern for millions of people (Greenland, 2005; Ivers and Cullen, 2011). In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the phenomenon is rife, accounting for about 26.8 percent of hungry people worldwide (FAO, WFP & IFAD, 2012). Of these, 80 percent live in rural areas, working as ‘peasants, landless labourers and pastoralists’ (Tobin, 2009).

In the 1960s, agriculture played a dominant role in the Nigerian economy. With the exploration and development of oil sector, agricultural production began to decline to the level of importing most of the staple foods. The Nigerian economy had experienced rapid aggregate economic growth largely through the expansion of oil production (CBN, 1995). The rise in oil production has been accompanied by income disparity among the citizens. The World Bank (2002) reported that the Gini ratio for income distribution in Nigeria between 2003 and 2009 widened from 40.0 to 442. Nigeria thus presented a paradox. The country is rich but most of the people are poor. The impact of interpersonal differentials is substantiated by the gap between the rich and the poor.

Evidence in Nigeria reveals that, the number of those in poverty is on the increase. The number of those in poverty increased from 27% in 1980 to 46% in 1985. It declined slightly to 42% in 1992. In 1999, it was estimated that, more than 70% of Nigerians lived in poverty, (Ogwumike, 2005). Despite the various poverty alleviation programmes adopted by various governments in Nigeria, over 93 million Nigerians still live in poverty, with at least three million sliding into extreme poverty between November 2018 and February 2019 (Olayinka, 2019). In recent times, based on the poverty line of $1.90 per day, 46.5% of Nigerians are extremely poor, with the World Poverty Clock naming Nigeria, ‘the poverty capital of the world’. According to the World Poverty Clock (2019), extreme poverty in Nigeria is increasing by almost six persons per minute. Therefore, reducing rural poverty has been on the agenda of international development agencies as well as governmental and non – governmental organizations for a long time.

There is no developed approach to estimate the great degree of heterogeneity in asset positions across households and the multiplicity of activities in which they are engaged to generate income. There also exists a gap in knowing the level of engagement in different activities by the rural farm households and the reasons for that. Could it be, because they lack access to sufficient land to make agriculture a viable income strategy or because of market failures for credit and insurance that push them into non-farm activities to diversify their risk and seek sources of liquidity to be used in agriculture?

The reduction of poverty is the most difficult challenge facing any country in the developing world where on average, the majority of the population is considered poor. In Nigeria, the number of those in poverty has continued to increase (Lawal et al., 2011). Despite the various efforts of government to reduce the incidence of poverty through different poverty alleviation programmes and strategies and the quest to be one of the 20 largest economies by the year 2020, Nigeria continues to be one of the poorest countries in the world (Adepoju, 2012). Its incidence rose from 27.2% in 1980 to 42.7% in 1992 and 69% in 2010 (NBS, 2012). Nigeria has been ranked 153rd with human development index of 0.471 in 2013 UNDP Human Development Index despite moving a step up from the 2011 rating, portraying the country among the poorest countries in the world, majority of whom resides in the rural areas with farming as their primary occupation.

Although Nigeria has a huge agricultural endowment, hunger characterizes the majority of the population. About 64.4% and 83.7% of the population live below the poverty line of US$1.25 and US$2 per person per day, respectively (Aye, 2013). Nigeria faces a lot of challenges including that of attaining food security, which is one of the millennium development goals (FAO, 2003). Some of these challenges are caused by natural resources (soil, water and climate), faulty micro economies, agricultural policies, bad economy, etc. Due to these challenges, smallholder farmers in Nigeria are poverty stricken. These challenges affect individual farmers and put the household welfare of the farmer at danger or at risk. Consequently, this risk encourages farmers to diversify into other non-farm activities which are expected to supplement their income. Ibrahim et al, (2009) discovered that income and crop diversification have been identified as essential strategies for raising income and reducing rural poverty.

Etuk,(2018) highlight that access to credit and strengthening of the credit institutional arrangement improves the livelihood of rural household.

Having studied previous works in related areas by different authors. The researcher observed that not much has be done in the area of ‘determinants and welfare effect of agricultural and livelihood diversification among smallholder farmers in Abia state, Nigeria’. Hence, this particular study adopted multinomial logit model to analysis Demography to avoid selection bias in the choice livelihood diversification.

Given that the majority of the farmers are smallholders who produce on a subsistence level, since the greater percentage of the population is domiciled in the rural area, the need to study the livelihood of rural farmers becomes paramount.

1.3           RESEARCH QUESTIONS

The following questions represent the specific objectives of this study:

i.               what are the various patterns of livelihood and level of diversification?

ii.              what are the factors affecting the decision to diversify livelihood and intensity of diversification?

iii.            what are the factors influencing livelihood diversification pattern?

iv.            what is the welfare status of the respondents and the determinant factors?

v.              what is the relationship between welfare and livelihood diversification?

1.4           RESEARCH OBJECTIVES

The broad objective of the study was to examine the pattern, determinants and welfare effect of agricultural and livelihood diversification among smallholder farmers in Abia state, Nigeria. The specific objectives were to:

      i.         identify the various patterns of livelihood and level of diversification;

     ii.         estimate the factors affecting the decision to diversify livelihood and intensity of diversification;

   iii.         analyze the factors influencing livelihood diversification pattern;

   iv.         determine the welfare status of the respondents and the determinant factors

     v.         examine the relationship between welfare and livelihood diversification.

1.5           HYPOTHESES

The following hypotheses were tested in line with the objectives of the study:

H1: Livelihood diversification intensity is positively influenced by gender, level of education, household size, distance to market, remittances, cooperative membership, credit use and availability of electricity and negatively influenced by respondents’ age, farm size, labour and farm income. 

H2:      Livelihood diversification pattern is directly related to education, number of household members in school, distance to market, use of farm technologies, total household income, household size and inversely related to farm size and dependency ratio

H3:      Welfare status of the households is positively influenced by level of education, farming experience, credit use, diversification, value of physical assets and income and negatively influenced by age of respondents, sex of household head, household size and dependency ratio.

H4:      There is a positive relationship between welfare status and livelihood diversification

1.6           JUSTIFICATION

The rural livelihood diversification from farming is one of the rural householdsstrategies for survival in developing countries (Ellis, 1999) like Nigeria. Most rural populations in Africa have been suffering from poverty and environmental degradation. Maintenance of a diversified resource base is a prerequisite for adaptation to climate variability as diversified livelihood systems allow indigenous farming communities to draw on various sources of food and income. The rural people diversify into non-farm activities to explore opportunities through which they increase and stabilize their incomes or to supplement farming in order to improve the welfare or living standard of their households (Akaakohol & Aye, 2014). In Abia State as well, rural households diversify or engage in other income generating activities as a way to avoid risk from agricultural disasters or failure, some households diversify into other agricultural sectors/farming strategies while others diversify into non-farm activities like tailoring, crafts and skills like knitting, plaiting of hair/barbing, others get civil service jobs, etc.( Obinna,2014) In doing so, they can diffuse the risks of vulnerability to climate change (Macchi et al., 2008). Consequently, this study serves as a guide to provide rural households in particular alternative ways to escape poverty and improve their welfare.

The growth of non-farm income sources if accessible in remote rural areas might reduce the need for landless dwellers to carry out extractive practices in local environments for their survival. This has been called the “substitution of employment for the environment” and has received quite a lot of attention in the policy literature (Lipton, Sucher, Kaiser, & Dreyer, 1991). In addition, livelihood diversification is an effective way of solving the problems caused by poverty and environmental degradation. Therefore, livelihood diversification can be used as an efficient indicator to evaluate the success and sustainability of the rural community, which is, for instance, true in China (Liu & Liu, 2016). A replication of such similar study to see its impact on welfare sustainability will be beneficial to government in making policies relating to development and welfare advancement of the rural populace.

With the analyses aimed at addressing the various livelihoods and their contributory factors, it is obvious this would represent the entry point that highlight the different livelihood diversification trends. This will also provide strategies practiced by rural dwellers which would serve as reference points for researchers and scholars in the promulgation of appropriate policies for poverty reduction in the long run.

 

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