THE MODERATING EFFECT OF INVESTORS’ DECISION ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL REPORTING STANDARDS IMPLEMENTATION AND EARNINGS RESPONSE COEFFICIENT OF LISTED COMPANIES IN NIGERIA

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ABSTRACT

This study examined the effect of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation on Earnings Response Coefficient (ERC) of listed companies in Nigeria. The study has concerned for poor utilization of capital market, especially equity market for funding of developmental project, both public and private sector entities. The study therefore focused on the effect of IFRS Implementation on earnings response coefficient of listed companies in Nigerian and also assessed the interactive effects between IFRS provisions and investors' protection among others on the Earnings Response Coefficient of listed companies in Nigerian. This study adopted historical-descriptive research design and content analysis research designs. This was conducted using forty six listed companies in Nigerian covering the period of 6 years (2013 to 2018). The data of the study was analyzed using the Partial Least Square. The results of the cross sectional effect model show that ERC is not positively associated with IFRS implementation. This is not inclusive of the fact that IFRS implementation brings about high quality standards which is a prerequisite for high quality information, but it is not sufficient enough to induce a change in the ERC. IFRS reveals its inability to increase the decision usefulness of financial statements to be more earning oriented rather than non-earning oriented. It was discovered that investors and speculators alike pay close attention to the degree to which current period earnings shocks persist in the future, and this outcome propels the IFRS compliance to enhance a high earnings response coefficient of firms in the stock market. ERC also improves with the moderating effect of a strong investors’ protection in an IFRS environment, while ERC is also inversely and significantly affected by the interactive effect between beta and IFRS implementation. It is therefore recommended that firms listed in the Nigerian stock exchange should as a result of necessity improve on their investors' protection in order to promote a high earnings response coefficient under an IFRS environment, and that the financial reports of listed companies in Nigerian should be designed to improve the information contents of accounting earnings in order to include inherent socio-economic risk, full disclosure of net income, past and prospective earnings.








TABLE OF CONTENTS

Title page                                                                                                                                i

Certification                                                                                                                           ii

Approval Page                                                                                                                        iii

Dedication                                                                                                                              iv

Acknowledgements                                                                                                                vi

Table of Contents                                                                                                                   v

List of Figures                                                                                                                         viii

Abstract                                                                                                                                  ix

 

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION

1.1  Background to the Study                                                                                            1

1.2  Statement of the Problem                                                                                           3

1.3  Objectives of the Study                                                                                              5

1.4  Research Hypotheses                                                                                                  6

1.5  Research Questions                                                                                                    7

1.6  Scope of the Study                                                                                                      8

1.7  Significance of the Study                                                                                           8

1.8  Operational Definition of Terms                                                                                10

 

CHAPTER 2:    REVIEW OF LITERATURE

 

2.1       Conceptual Review                                                                                                     12

2.1.1    An overview of IFRS implementation                                                                       14

2.1.2    IFRS adoption and implementation in Nigeria                                                          17

2.1.2.1 Benefits of IFRS Adoption                                                                                         18

2.1.2.2 Fair value measurement                                                                                              23

2.1.3.   Earnings response coefficient                                                                                     26

2.1.3.1 Measurement of the earnings response coefficient                                                    29

2.1.4    Determinants of the earnings response coefficient                                                    30

2.1.4.1 Earnings persistence                                                                                                   30

2.1.4.2 Beta (systematic risk)                                                                                                 31

2.1.4.3 Investors’ protection, ERC and IFRS                                                                         32

2.1.4.4 The effect of IFRS induced fair value accounting on the ERC                                     33

2.1.5    Control variables                                                                                                        36

2.1.5.1 Firm size                                                                                                                     36

2.1.5.2 Industry type                                                                                                               38

2.2       Theoretical Review                                                                                                    39

2.2.1    Theory of value relevance                                                                                          39

2.3       Empirical Review                                                                                                       42

2.4       Research Gap                                                                                                             71

 

CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY             

3.1 Research Design                                                                                                               72

3.2 Population and Sample size                                                                                              72

3.3 Sources of Data                                                                                                                73

3.4 Method of Data collection                                                                                                74

3.5 Data Analysis Techniques and Measurement                                                                  74

3.5.1    Summary of variables measurement                                                                          78

3.6 Model Specification                                                                                                         84

3.7 Method of Data Analysis                                                                                                  84

 

CHAPTER 4:  RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

4.1 Data Presentation and Analysis                                                                                        87

4.2  Test of Hypotheses                                                                                                     102

4.3  Discussion of Findings                                                                                               109

 

CHAPTER 5: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS

5.1 Summary of Findings                                                                                                       111

5.2 Conclusions                                                                                                                      112

5.3 Recommendations                                                                                                            114

5.4 Contribution to Knowledge                                                                                              114

 

             References                                                                                      

Appendices

 


 






LIST OF TABLES

 

Page

2.01                 Effective IAS/IFRS issued to date                                                                    15

 

2.02                 Summary of Results of empirical studies conducted in Developed and

                        Developing Countries on IFRS implementation and Earnings Response

                        Coefficient                                                                                               73

 

2.03                 Summary of empirical review investigating the Association between

Earnings Response Coefficient and IFRS implementation                                       78

 

3.01                 Population and Sample Size Distribution of listed companies                      88

 

4.2                   Descriptive statistics                                                                                          89

4.3                   Correlations Matrix Table                                                                                 90

4.4                   Lagrangian Multiplier Test of ERC and IFRS implementation                          92

 4.5                  Hausman Specification Test of ERC and IFRS implementation                         93

4.6                   Results on the effect of IFRS implementation on ERC                                       93

4.7                   Results on the moderating effect of investor’s protection on the relationship between IFRS implementation and ERC                                                       94

 

4.8                   Results on the moderating effect of earnings persistency on the relationship between IFRS implementation and ERC                                                       95

 

4.9                   Results on the moderating effect of systematic risk on the relationship

between IFRS implementation and ERC                                                          96

 

4.10                 Fixed/random effects regression results for earnings response coefficient      98

 

4.11                 Fixed/ random effects regression results for moderating variables and IFRS implementation                                                                                          99

 

4,12                 Random effects regression results for moderating variables and ERC      101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


LIST OF FIGURES

                                                                                                             Page

1: Conceptual Framework of IFRS Implementation and Earnings Response Coefficient     13

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

CHAPTER 1

INTRODUCTION

 

1.1       BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY

A well-functioning capital market is essential for economic development and to realize its full potential, countries must have a world class capital market that is strong, suitable and plays a central role by becoming the first port of call for the mobilization of funds and investment. The Nigerian capital market today is presently gaining important posture among the community of stock market in the world; and has gone through series of innovations. There is still a growing need for enhanced investor’s protection and increased disclosure through the effective use of accounting information for making economic decisions.

A fundamental issue surrounding the operation of the market is the availability of relevant information on potential investment target which has a bearing on efforts to mobilize investment for financing economic and social development. Relevant and reliable information on predictable earnings of investible funds is indeed crucial to induce favorable earning response from potential investors (Adekoya, 2011).

The need for prudential accounting information propagated by the implementation of the IFRS in Nigeria is already exhibiting relevant effect in the sub-sector leading to high risk (Adekoya, 2016). This is mostly devoid of highlight on the effect of IFRS on earnings. Most stakeholders are already coming to term with the potency of the IFRS in identifying and incorporating all economic transactions and present value of assets and liabilities in the determination of firms’ returns and future earnings (Pascan, 2015). However, the resultant effect of IFRS on the decision usefulness of financial statements information, still remain a mirage among investors in Nigeria.

Security prices are to completely mirror all openly accessible information; while the earnings declaration made by a firm is required to instigate market reactions to the degree of the unforeseen component of the news. The degree of the adjustment in security price caused by such unexpected change in earnings is the representation of the earnings response coefficient (ERC). ERC is, therefore, the estimated relationship between a firm’s equity and the unexpected portion of a company’s earnings announcement (Hasanzade, Darabi & Mahfoozi, 2013).

According to Cho and Jung (1991), ERC captures the return sensitivity to the earnings surprises. These surprises are estimated by the unexpected earnings characterized as the distinction among acknowledged and anticipated profit. In other words, ERC represents the market response, in relations to price change, corresponding to a unit of unexpected earnings.

Dechow, Ge, and Schrand (2014) show that ERC is a measure regarding the decision usefulness that assesses market perception of value relevance of different accounting measurement and recognition measures. The IFRS implementation is expected to key into the need for reliable and relevant financial information that is developed based on fair value for effective decision making across all business jurisdiction (Scott, 2009).

Ewert and Wagenhofer (2005) were of the view that high quality accounting standards does not only decrease earnings management and improves reporting quality, but also propels favorable market reaction. This strong market response to earnings information is reflected in the high Earning Response Coefficient, suggesting that organizations that embrace IFRS were less inclined to take part in earnings smoothing and were bound to report losses in an appropriate manner (Barth, Beaver & Landsman, 2006). However, there also abound several exposures to IFRS implementation that could impair investors’ decision on earnings forecast which must be critically considered in relations to other factors that could enhance the decision usefulness of a firm’s earnings potentials. 

Scott (2009) suggested that a number of reasons could be responsible for differential market response to reported earnings. These include beta, capital structure, earnings persistency, growth opportunities and level of investors’ protection among, others. The place of IFRS implementation to a favorable earning response coefficient is yet to be unraveled in Nigeria.

The IFRS implementation requiring the use of fair value accounting among other requirements may also lead to increased earnings volatility and consequently, less accurate earnings forecasts; hence, the relevance of this research in determining the level of ERC in the fair value accounting environment in response to IFRS implementation. This is because; it is unclear what the IFRS implementation would represent in the earning response coefficient of listed companies in Nigeria.

 

1.2       STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM   

The use of the equity market by Nigerian firms has always been low, unlike some developing countries, where equity tends to be the primary source of financing. The study has concerned for poor utilization of capital market, especially equity market for funding of developmental project, both public and private sector entities.

Funding by banks to listed firms has been adjudged to be as high as 54 % while that from the equity market is as low as 28 % as at 2018. This low patronage of the Nigerian Stock Exchange as a source of financing business in Nigeria is attributable to the unfavorable market response to earnings information that is exclusively dependent on IFRS exigencies with particular reference to IFRS 13. There are also little or no information on earnings persistency, investors’ protection and systematic risk among others in the companies’ annual reports.

Despite the relevance of IFRS to the financial reporting quality in Nigeria, the focus on IFRS alone has engendered the inability of the listed firms in Nigerian to increase the decision usefulness to be more earning oriented rather than non-earning information. IFRS implementation in Nigeria has led to increase earnings volatility and consequently, less accurate earnings forecasts, which was not the case in the pre-IFRS implementation era (Odoemelam, Okafor & Ofoegbu, 2019). These frivolities have an untold effect on the earning response coefficient of listed firms in Nigerian; while, a lot of investors still consider other factors besides earnings in taking their decisions. As such the construct validity of ERC is not fully known. There is also a relative paucity of research on ERC determinants in Nigeria and their influence in the Nigerian stock exchange market. It is equally unclear if the IFRS implementation would result in the decision usefulness to investors in their response to equity returns and unexpected earnings from the financial statement of listed companies in the Nigerian stock exchange, while the issues of investors’ protection have also been grossly undermined in the firms’ annual reports.

Investors in Nigeria are equally not quickly moved upon receipt of new information on market value of the securities which according to them could be a sham (Oji, 2019). This is because most prices of securities traded in the market might not fully reflect all information that is publicly known about these securities. It is against this background that the study examines the moderating effect of investors’ decision on the relationship between International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation and Earnings Response Coefficient (ERC) of investors in the equity market.

   

            1.3           OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

The major objective of this research was to ascertain the moderating effect of investors’ decision on the relationship between IFRS Implementation and ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria. However, the following are the specific objectives of the study:

1.     To investigate if IFRS implementation affects the earnings response coefficient of listed companies in Nigeria.

2.     To assess the moderating effect of investors' protection on the relationship between IFRS implementation and earnings response coefficient of listed companies in Nigeria.

3.     To examine the extent to which earnings persistency moderates the relationship between IFRS implementation and earnings response coefficient of listed companies in Nigerian

4.     To evaluate the moderating effect of beta on the relationship between IFRS and earnings response coefficient of listed companies in Nigeria.

5.     To assess the effect of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation on investors' protection of listed Companies in Nigeria.

6.     To examine the effect of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation on earnings persistency of listed Companies in Nigeria.

7.     To evaluate the effect of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation on beta of listed Companies in Nigeria.

8.     To assess the effect of investors' protection on ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria.

9.     To examine the effect of earnings persistency on ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria.

10.  To evaluate the effect of beta on ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria.

 

1.4       RESEARCH QUESTIONS

The following research questions were set to guide the study:

1.     To what extent does IFRS implementation affect earnings response coefficient of listed Nigerian companies?

2.     How does investors' protection moderate the relationship between IFRS implementation and earnings response coefficient of listed companies in Nigerian?

3.     To what extent does earnings persistency moderate the relationship between IFRS implementation and earnings response coefficient of listed Nigerian companies

4.     To what extent does Beta moderate the relationship between IFRS implementation and earnings response coefficient of listed companies Nigerian?

5.     To what extent does International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation affect investors' protection of listed Companies in Nigeria?

6.     To what extent does International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation affect earnings persistency of listed Companies in Nigeria?

7.     To what extent does International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation affect beta of listed Companies in Nigeria?

8.     To what extent does investors' protection affect ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria?

9.     To what extent does earnings persistency affect ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria?

10.  To what extent does beta affect ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria?

 

            1.5           RESEARCH HYPOTHESES

In order to answer the research questions and to achieve the objectives of the study, the following hypotheses were developed:

1.     IFRS implementation has no significant effect on earnings response coefficient of listed companies in Nigeria.

  1. Investor’s protection does not significantly moderate the relationship between IFRS implementation and Earnings response coefficient of listed companies in Nigeria.

3.     The interaction between IFRS implementation and Earnings response coefficient is not significantly moderated by earnings persistency of listed companies in Nigeria.

4.     Beta does not significantly moderate the relationship between IFRS implementation and Earnings response coefficient of listed companies in Nigeria.

  1. International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation does not significantly affect investors' protection of listed Companies in Nigeria.
  2. International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation does not significantly affect earnings persistency of listed Companies in Nigeria.
  3. International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation does not significantly affect beta of listed Companies in Nigeria.
  4. Investors' protection does not significantly affect ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria.
  5. Earnings persistency does not significantly affect ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria.
  6. Beta does not significantly affect ERC of listed Companies in Nigeria.

 

1.6       SCOPE OF THE STUDY

The topic of this study is on the moderating effect of investors’ decision on the relationship between International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Implementation and Earnings Response Coefficient (ERC) of listed Companies in Nigeria. It focuses on the moderating effect of investors’ protection, earnings persistence and systematic risk on the relationship between International Financial Reporting Standards implementation and Earnings Response Coefficient of listed Nigerian companies.

The sample size of the study was drawn from companies listed in the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). This entails the use of the annual reports & accounts and share prices of the listed firms. The time period of the study was between 2013 to 2018 coverings all aspects dealing with the data needed for the statistical analysis.

 

1.7       SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY

            The study was significant on two grounds, namely, theory and practice. On the theoretical ground, this study essentially contributes to the existing body of knowledge of earnings response coefficient in Nigeria. In addition, very few studies have centred on International Financial Reporting Standards Implementation and Earnings Response Coefficient in Nigeria. As such, this work provides a different view from what were obtainable in emerging economies, and also offer a better understanding of the extent of International Financial Reporting Standards Implementation on Earnings Response Coefficient in Nigeria. Previous studies have also failed to mention the moderating effect of investor’s protection, earnings persistency and beta play in enhancing a favourable earnings response coefficient. In view of this, the study emphasizes on the relevance of investors’ protection, earnings persistency and beta as prerequisite or complementary variables to enhance International Financial Reporting Standards Implementation on Earnings Response Coefficient. The facts on the relevance of investors’ protection, earnings persistency and sysmatic risk on International Financial Reporting Standards Implementation enable models to be developed which map the catalytic effect of the components of beta, investors’ protection and earnings persistency on the relationship between IFRS Implementation and ERC. 

The study encouraged companies to assess the current state of their reporting practices, in the light of the factor that this study identified and examined. This would enable them make the necessary changes for corporate structure and practices that may improve the effect of IFRS Implementation on ERC.

The study also serves as reference materials to researchers in accounting and management sciences. It was additionally important to scholars that might need to embark on research on comparative and related area of study, and ultimately the work will be of huge assistance to the inquisitive general reader who may be keen on having a little information on the topic.

The discoveries of this investigation will likewise help them in foreseeing the effect of IFRS implementation on the response of investor to returns on equity and unexpected earnings of listed companies. This likewise improves their capacity to plan and do those strategies that will increase the value of the organizations as well as enhance favourable ERC. 

This study gives the applicable information that empowers government and its organizations build up regulatory framework for reporting in the yearly report that suits the Nigerian environment. This exploration is of immense importance to Financial Reporting Council of Nigeria (FRCN), Security and Exchange Commission and the Nigerian Stock Exchange. This study fills in as a reminder for these bodies to set up machineries for expanded reporting and guidelines. 

This study was likewise important to professional accountancy bodies such as the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria (ICAN) and Association of National Accountants of Nigeria (ANAN). This is on the grounds that as one of the contemporary issues in accounting it could improve their obligatory proceedings. Speculators will likewise find the results to be helpful while offering proficient assistance to their clients in the area of listing activities.

 

1.8     OPERATIONAL DEFINITION OF TERMS

Beta: It is also known as systematic risk. This is about unpredictability influence on numerous ventures, stocks and resources. It assesses the openness of risk a particular stock has according to the market. It estimates the exposure of risk a specific stock has in relation to the market.

Cumulative Abnormal Return: This is the distinction between the actual returns and the daily market returns of a company’s stock.

Earnings persistency: It estimates how much flow period current earnings stuns persist in the future and in this way influence future income assumptions.

Earnings Response Coefficient: This is the estimate of the connection between stock returns and earnings around the time the earnings are reported. It also involves an outline on the nature of the expected earnings, measured by their capacity to reflect market assumption. It is an estimate of the change in a company’s stock price due to the information provided on an organization's profit declaration.

Fair value accounting: This is the sum for which resources/assets could be traded or a liability settled, between knowledgeable willing parties in an arm’s length transactions.

IFRS Implementation: This is the act of putting into operation, the International Financial Reporting Standards in the drawing up of companies’ financial statements.

International Financial Reporting Standards:  This is a body of accounting and financial reporting standard proclaimed by the International Accounting Standards Board.

Investors’ Protection: These are mechanisms adequately established to serve as a shield to provide sense of belonging and protect all investors against overbearing influence from other investors.

Unexpected Earnings (UE): This is the contrast between accounting profit realized and the accounting profit expected by the market.

 


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