ABSTRACT
Although several
theories of growth point towards a positive effect of human capital on growth,
empirical evidence on this issue has been mixed. Using the Correlation and
Regression analyses, this work examines empirically the role of human capital
in Nigeria's economic development. Empirical results indicate that there is,
indeed a long-run relationship among labour force, physical capital investment
proxied by real gross domestic capital formation, human capital formation,
proxied by enrollment in educational institutions and economic growth in
Nigeria. Findings show that there is a feedback mechanism between human capital
formation and economic growth in Nigeria, Thus, the policy implication of the
findings is that government should place a high priority on human capital
development. Efforts should be intensified to increase investment in human
capital to achieve the growth which would engender economic development. Most
importantly, education should be given prominence in Nigeria's developmental
efforts. This would propel the economy to higher levels of productivity.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Title Page
Certification
Dedication
Acknowledgement
Abstract
Table of content
CHAPTER ONE (INTRODUCTION)
1.1 Background
to the study
1.2 Statement
of the research problem
1.3 Objectives
of the study
1.4 Statement
of the research questions
1 .5 Statement
of the research hypotheses
1.6 Sources of
data and methodology
1.7 Scope of
the study
1.8 Significance
of the study
1.9 Plan of the
study
CHAPTER TWO
(LITERATURE REVIEW)
2.1 Meaning of
human capital development
2.2 Relationship
between human capital developments and economic growth
2.3 Health and
education as component of human capital
2.4 Human
capital development: Investing in Health and education
2.5 Human
capital development in Nigeria
CHAPTER THREE
(RESEARCH METHODOLOGY)
3.1 The data
set and sources
3.2 Restatement
of the hypotheses 3.3 Model specification
3.4 Methodology
and apriority expectations
CHAPTER FOUR (DATA
PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS)
4.1 Presentation
of data
4.2 Analyses of
data and interpretation of result
4.3 Statistical
decision
CHAPTER FIVE (SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND
RECOMMENDATION)
5.1 Summary of
findings
5.2 Policy
recommendation
5.3 Conclusion
BIBLIOGRAPHY
APPENDICES
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND
TO THE STUDY
The role of human
capital in economic growth cannot be overemphasized. The development of human
capital has been recognized by economists to be a key prerequisite for a
country's socio-economic and political transformation. Among the generally
agreed causal factors responsible for the impressive performance of the economy
of most of the developed and the newly industrializing countries is an
impressive commitment to human capital formation (Adedeji and Bamidele, 2003;
World Bank, 1995, Barro, 1991). This has been largely achieved through
increased knowledge, skills and capabilities acquired through education and training
by all the people of these countries.
It has been
stressed that the differences in the level of socio-economic development across
nations is attributed not so much to natural resources and endowments and the
stock of physical capital but to the quality and quantity of human resources.
According to Oladeji and Adebayo (1996) human resources are critical variables
in the growth process and worthy of development. They are not only means but,
more importantly, the ends that must be served to achieve economic progress.
This is underscored by Harbinson (1973) who opined that "human resources
constitute the ultimate basis for the wealth of nations. Capital and natural resources
are passive factors of production: human beings are the active agents who accumulate
capital, exploit natural resources, build social, economic, and political
organizations and carry forward national development. Clearly a country which
is unable to develop the skills and knowledge of its people and to utilize them
effectively in the national economy will be unable to develop anything else.
Nigeria's most glaring
objective since independence in 1960 has been to achieve stability, material
prosperity, peace and social progress. However, this has been hampered as a
result of internal problems. These include inadequate human development, primitive
agricultural practices, weak infrastructure, uninspiring growth of the manufacturing
sector, a poor policy, inadequate regulatory environment and miss-management
and misuse of resources (corruption). In order to ensure the economy delivers
on its potentials, 'the country experimented with two development
philosophies-a private sector-led growth in which the private sector served as
the "engine house" of the economy and a public sector - driven growth
in which the government assumed the
"commanding heights" of the economy. The initial low level of private
sector development, however, led to public sector dominance of the economy,
encouraged by growth in the oil sector (UNDP, 2009).
It is noteworthy
that since the advent of civilian rule in 1999, growth performance has improved
significantly. The last seven years witnessed an average growth rate of about 6
percent (UNDP, 2009:5; CBN, 2008) However, economic growth has not resulted in appreciable
decline in unemployment and poverty prevalence. Human development has remained
unimpressive as shown by the indicators in Table 1.
Table 1: Nigeria's
Human Development Summary Statistics by Zones, 2009
Zones
|
Human
Development
Index (HDI Value)
|
Human Poverty Index
(HPI)
|
Gender Development
Measure
(GDM)
|
Gender
Empowerment
Measure
(GME)
|
Inequality
Measure
(INQ)
|
North Central
|
0.490
|
34.65
|
0.478
|
0.244
|
0.49
|
North West
|
0.420
|
44.15
|
0.376
|
0.117
|
0.44
|
North East
|
0.322
|
48.90
|
0.250
|
0.118
|
0.42
|
South West
|
0.523
|
21.50
|
0.507
|
0.285
|
0.48
|
South East
|
0.471
|
26.07
|
0.455
|
0.315
|
0.38
|
South South
|
0.573
|
26.61
|
0.575
|
0.251
|
0.41
|
Source: UNDP
(2010:5) Summary: Human Development Report Nigeria 2009-2010, UNDP, Abuja
1.2 STATEMENT
OF THE RESEARCH PROBLEM
Over the years,
successive Nigerian governments recognized the importance of human capital
formation in the development process and have embarked on various programmes
and projects which led to the establishment of educational institutions and
health centers throughout the country. However, in the late 1970s and early
1980s, federal government spending grew substantially resulting in fiscal
crisis, inflation, and heavy borrowings.
Subsequently,
through the austerity measures adopted in 1982 and Structural Adjustment Programme
(SAP) introduced in 1986, the country attempted to bring down fiscal deficits
as part of its stabilization and adjustment programmes, often by reducing
public spending on across-the board basis. These reductions resulted in
unprecedented economic and social costs as human resources development was
neglected with adverse long-term development consequences (Oyinlola and Adam,
20_03). Thus, the ultimate goal of economic development which underscored the
need to improve the well-being of people was overlooked.
In more recent
times, renewed attention was paid to the role of human capital formation in the
country's development process and this has prompted the federal government to
declare in its 1999-2003 economic policy programme that "the economy
exists for and belongs to the people, and at all times the general well-being
of all the people shall be the overriding objectives of the government and the
proper measure of performance" (FGN, 1999). This .policy statement of the
government is further reiterated in the National Economic Empowerment and
Development Strategy (NEEDS). The provision of high-quality education and
health care to all the country's citizens is considered a key element of public
policy by all levels of government. Also, in the early part of this year, just
before the general election, President Good luck Jonathan approved the
establishment of new universities in order to enhance access to tertiary
education and thus boost human capital development. Though, the wisdom behind
the creation of new universities, to satisfy political needs, when the existing
ones are grossly under-funded, is questionable.
Against this
background, there is the need to examine if there truly exists a relationship
between human capital development and economic development on the one hand, and
also determine if investment in education and health care has really been
boosting human capital development.
1.3 OBJECTIVES
OF THE STUDY
Following are the
objectives for which this work is done.
·
To examine the impact of human capital formation on
economic development in Nigeria between 1983 and 2010;
·
To determine if investment in education has been
appropriately leading to economic development;
·
To establish if there exists a link between health care
development and economic development;
·
And on the basis of the findings, recommend policies and
measures for improving human capital formation in the country.
1.4 STATEMENT
OF THE RESEARCH QUESTION
As a follow up to
the preceding objectives, the following are the appropriate research questions.
·
Is there a significant relationship between human capital
formation and economic development in Nigeria?
·
Is the relationship between investment in education and
economic development significant?
·
Is there a significant relationship between health care
development and economic development?
1.5 STATEMENT
OF THE RESEARCH HYPOTHESES
In order to be
able to provide answers to the questions stated above, the following null and
alternative hypotheses are tentatively stated.
Hypothesis I
Ho: There is no
significant relationship between human capital formation and economic
development in Nigeria between 1983 and 2010.
H1: There is a
significant relationship between human capital formation and economic
development in Nigeria between 1983 and 2010.
Hypothesis II
Ho: The relationship between investment in
education and economic development in Nigeria is not significant.
H1: The relationship
between investment In education and economic development in Nigeria is
significant.
Hypothesis III
Ho: There is no
significant relationship between health care development and economic
development.
H1: There is a
significant relationship between health care development and economic
development.
1.6 SOURCES
OF DATA AND METHODOLOGY
The data for this
study would be obtained mainly from secondary sources, particularly from
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) publications and that of the Federal Office of
Statistics and relevant journals, textbooks and financial newspapers. The data
to be collected include: gross domestic product (which is used to denote
economic development), enrolment in educational institution, which is used to
denote human capital formation; and spending on education and health care
development.
The research work
will make use of the Statistical packages for Social Sciences (SPSS) in
estimating the relationship between the variables as proposed by the respective
hypothesis. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) technique will be employed in
obtaining the numerical estimates of the coefficients in the model to be
formulated. The OLS method is chosen because it possesses some optimal
properties; its computational procedure is fairly simple and it is also an
essential component of most other estimation techniques. The estimation period
will cover 1983 through 2010.
1. 7 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
The economy is a
large component with a lot of diverse and sometimes complex parts such that a
lot of variables do interplay in order to initiate the development process.
This work will however limit its searchlight on the contribution of human
capital development/formation on economic development. Also, human capital
formation is a variable that is largely dependent on a host of factors other
than educational and health care development. Yet, these two are chosen because
they are considered to be the most important determinant of human capital
formation. Thus, the scope of this work is defined by the chosen variables.
1.8 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
The study will
explore the impact or effectiveness of human capital formation on Nigerian
economic development. At the successful completion of this work, it is expected
that it will contribute to existing literature on the subject matter by investigating
empirically the role, which human capital formation play on economic
development of the country, and the contribution of education and health care
delivery to human capital formation. The main importance of this study is that
it will provide policy recommendations to policy-makers on ways to improve the
relationship between human capital formation and economic development, and how
investment in education and health care delivery will appropriately lead to the
development of human resource.
1.9 PLAN
OF THE STUDY
Following this
chapter, chapter two presents a review of relevant literature while chapter
three outlines the analytical framework and the model. Chapter four presents
and discusses. The empirical data and results while chapter five concludes the
work.
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